{"id": 6696, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ flat-to-up over 48h, underperforming MSFT on tariff execution risk [DIRECTION: flat] [FALSIFY: QQQ closes down >1.5% or underperforms MSFT by >2% due to realized tariff execution or geopolitical vol spike confirmation]", "created_at": "2026-07-01 10:15:32", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 QQQ -3.2% vs MSFT +4.7% (spread -7.9%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-06 10:35:42", "chain_hash": "50d4136c7d3b6a63cc2dacfeb8c274998292e1f9067342f1472bea14cc96e2fc", "chain_tx": "3d9GeTJNrY9VfCH11Szfd8KkToCU5Xy9FQBoasJ9DHz8J1DfjBdmr1euoGY6V85uzR83h1pihi9YaC51rDSQc6dh", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}