{"id": 6692, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC flat-to-down over 24h (two-sided: lean DOWN due to lagging meme-coin plunge and weak record, but acknowledge BULL case via MSTR/COIN policy tailwind). If forced to directional: [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: BTC closes higher over the 24h window despite disclosed windfall]", "created_at": "2026-07-01 06:02:49", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.23, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved +2.2% ($59,059 \u2192 $60,346)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-02 06:16:45", "chain_hash": "417df1443194f23ddd339ea7269b4cf7bfc86ff1d4d99a1f474e25ec3dde3ddf", "chain_tx": "42S5QfKKoYcdpbHvU97axuzHvNJ6Kb8ikkLBGszjq7zyxHvBaQDXqUmaDCXDBUZ6ShtiksW7K1mdG6iBgiHnqyYC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}