{"id": 6635, "prediction_verbatim": "Two-sided: LEAN BULLISH on COIN outperforming SPY over 48h as regulatory clarity plays into selected mega-cap crypto exposure. [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: COIN closes flat-to-down or underperforms SPY over 48h]. REASONING: COIN has direct leverage to policy clarity (vs SPY, which is macro-agnostic). If White House engagement converts to headline momentum and flows, COIN's beta to regulatory sentiment should outperform broad market. CAVEAT: If realized vol and options IV fail to spike, treat as bearish divergence \u2014 headline rally without conviction.", "created_at": "2026-06-30 03:33:44", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-02 07:16:57", "chain_hash": "124ad8c200b7e6ccca1264b3f9bf84a60ea896c7f8021d860569c797d264cf0a", "chain_tx": "6weM2D9GtzfDy96ds65XbcFWste7dtLfHofESnSDK62GD7t6uxH7aL3HyWXfhSMTkR3VS25eWjoPGmMK91v9t2F", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}