{"id": 6534, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY closes flat to modestly up over 48h; geopolitical and policy headlines do not trigger systematic repricing [DIRECTION: flat] [FALSIFY: SPY closes down >1% over 48h, signaling macro shock repricing into the cluster of tariff/geopolitical/recession concerns]", "created_at": "2026-06-29 02:43:14", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.23, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 SPY moved +2.4% ($729 \u2192 $747)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-01 03:32:46", "chain_hash": "194f56a1088e009326c7e116732348715e08d783d5617755a456e49e136f4117", "chain_tx": "3CVf9vFvARdD9vNH2mtiwYp2oyeULuLq4KE3Eb8xSAbX44iwNE5qyDVCyvnotDgU7VoWSAKDUbfJd8ep1zvTxXvq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}