{"id": 6528, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC closes flat over 48h on Hormuz escalation already-priced-in and lack of fresh tail hedging signal. [DIRECTION: flat] [FALSIFY: BTC closes +2% or higher over 48h, or a new IRGC strike occurs and BTC fails to spike within 6h of announcement]", "created_at": "2026-06-29 00:53:53", "direction": "flat", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.25, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 bitcoin moved -1.8% ($59,343 \u2192 $58,284)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-01 01:32:36", "chain_hash": "b59b70bed7d4d0e5d3bd399142e3621accd2368e83bd4a43875ee5adeefd6838", "chain_tx": "3gnAUfNccrRnHVSZwUMa6Ffmu4dZRNGcpLWswyw8zktFsCNXA8zSQAFUZLFAYUqG21UYuNi7DFBCyMnvQfSr1N2n", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}