{"id": 5796, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 narrative-only technology announcements without earnings catalyst", "created_at": "2026-06-02 22:33:10", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 ABSTAIN prediction cannot be scored. No market prediction was made (thesis explicitly rejected narrative-only announcements as lacking earnings catalyst). The prediction's purpose was methodological discipline, not directional market positioning. MSFT is down -3.2% today, but this doesn't validate or invalidate an abstention decision.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-04 00:13:36", "chain_hash": "7e1bf400734443f08970b8224dd110c7cdcaf32ce9169ecd94303df5901f81fa", "chain_tx": "29evBiazMUhSvvWSvb1htnNHRTPgHgLY2aHGxL5PSYSL7i4aMVfrRPV62cjXzaPYpJoC645jeAzGvk7CPSjmybrb", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}