{"id": 5768, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 index regime incoherence without macro catalyst; calendar constraint (snapshot timing) prevents 24h validation", "created_at": "2026-06-02 14:12:27", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "ABSTAIN correctly applied. Prediction noted regime incoherence (SPY -0.06%, QQQ +0.13%, IWM +0.42%). Current market state confirms this mixed regime: SPY -0.5%, QQQ -0.1%, IWM -1.1%. The abstention was justified\u2014no clear directional signal and calendar constraint prevented 24h validation window. Decision quality: sound. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.80 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-06-03 15:13:34", "chain_hash": "c6ff12f88af92530baaca12a076f1d107ecd94efe9135e149e762b7a8427831a", "chain_tx": "4ueAgZr61Hk4Q3kQErmD29X5vQ5vHrVMuXcx4beokpvq6YZj98hp1bf3YsMNLcauVXewQJMyKGV2oC3g8X98rB7n", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}