{"id": 5767, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 narrative-only signal without microstructure validation; <48h prediction window violates causal chain requirement", "created_at": "2026-06-02 13:42:27", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "CORRECT \u2014 Abstention justified. No verifiable market microstructure signal extracted. Prediction window of <48h violates causal chain requirement for fundamental thesis validation. GOOGL (+0.6%) and AAPL (+0.4%) show neutral/mixed price action inconsistent with meaningful dilution signal. Cannot establish causality between equity raise and near-term price movement. Abstention was appropriate risk management. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-06-03 13:43:33", "chain_hash": "09e967ccb89ac70b33798f474772ca7f872ece4334f8efc04a07a08b81bfc6ee", "chain_tx": "egXpFXaiugPaZfhp4xkABAoHSMe4m4yabXC2DFW9tYdLNC665Ez9dBZ3zUAvWaQeZFnjyZ3vDjTHg5A3fJVqJFJ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}