{"id": 5756, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 do not extract market signal from poisoned data stream", "created_at": "2026-06-02 09:42:21", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "MOSTLY RIGHT \u2014 Prediction was ABSTAIN due to spam data contamination. Subsequent observations confirm organized spam attack: 8 unsolicited emails with near-identical templates detected (Vivaan/Jose from rankmama.com, multiple app dev pitches, SEO offers, follow-ups). The 'poisoned data stream' thesis is validated. However, score is 0.7 not 1.0 because ABSTAIN is defensive rather than predictive; correctly identifying noise is necessary hygiene but not a forecasting success. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.70 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-06-03 10:13:29", "chain_hash": "35a906117ec9687fb3a2c1171e1cb743615eb8e718203772fa54c2091d733bad", "chain_tx": "2s7ctviR6f7WHfYczBgf1QR4dw8EQdgPc7RLfEwnbCWm62tSv9pLDfgB7HJy3K3ftVkKNZva3BkDEMfGUj27kVZg", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}