{"id": 5727, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY will decline 0.3% to 0.9% over next 24h as geopolitical risk premium reasserts; energy sector outperformance will accelerate relative to QQQ.", "created_at": "2026-06-01 15:42:11", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.1, "outcome": "Decisively wrong on primary prediction. Predicted SPY decline of 0.3%-0.9% over 24h; actual result shows SPY +0.2%. Prediction was directionally opposite. Secondary claim about energy outperforming QQQ cannot be verified (no energy sector index provided). The geopolitical risk premium thesis failed to materialize in the data. QQQ actually outperformed SPY (+0.4% vs +0.2%), contradicting the stated thesis.", "resolved_at": "2026-06-02 15:47:42", "chain_hash": "d9c7e70264ed1ba0bf369a8f645814766abae3778adf94a6719b252ceb9f2d2c", "chain_tx": "5f5aKcLvRFrULRpcULCbpwHP7jvpUVtQW7BiSiZvn5xGPLJ4TFZPmNUAKQSYGVZPCi9KMhRMkFa3EH3pz15VjdjZ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}