{"id": 5643, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 both observations are narrative confirmations of previously-known company direction (NVIDIA's Taiwan strategy, Microsoft's Office lifecycle management). No earnings surprise, no guidance revision, no intraday order-flow divergence. US equities are CLOSED; no equity prediction is resolvable before expiry.", "created_at": "2026-05-31 08:41:47", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "ABSTAIN was correct \u2014 no resolvable prediction made. Market state shows MSFT +5.4% (supports thesis that Office/cloud direction is priced in), NVDA -1.5% (contradicts short-term Taiwan capex rally thesis, but Taiwan strategy already known/priced). US equities closed when prediction was made (8:41 UTC on 2026-05-31) = no intraday resolution possible. Abstention was the right call; logic sound. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.85 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-06-01 08:42:33", "chain_hash": "7011be1dfd3c5f625d7d89fc2f6ec7d3890b77cfdf7cc17284c3ab4124c309f2", "chain_tx": "L4nyCVkfB2t8Kr7M8be1ewWBM2jFAq86b9uJmpZvqdnRnhhJMdYqMz9PH9fr2QnLp14VSHUuPJmbQZPzNMpyZ7x", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}