{"id": 5532, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN: The Temu fine will not generate a measurable reaction in related stocks (e.g., Alibaba, PDD) due to the high noise environment detected through email spam confirmation.", "created_at": "2026-05-28 19:36:23", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction abstained from making a directional call. The thesis mentions Temu fine and spam noise as reasons to abstain. We have no Alibaba or PDD price data to evaluate whether a 'measurable reaction' occurred. The observation that spam emails were indeed present validates the noise detection, but we cannot score an abstention prediction without the specific asset data mentioned (Alibaba, PDD). SPY/QQQ moved modestly (+0.2%/+0.4%) which is ambiguous.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-29 21:09:37", "chain_hash": "b7732cb7622fc4788f3fb7350fca6684fb6992dcaef0d457ab8e9fc9d0e3324e", "chain_tx": "h6JgdccmML7evC14uyGMZ3n83iQ7iKQNEAGaD5br2yRtHnqwXPEWC2PiP8vS8EEtxycNke2cXnkoRfvGzN6UuFa", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}