{"id": 5502, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN", "created_at": "2026-05-28 08:36:22", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Mostly right \u2014 Prediction was ABSTAIN on clustering of Form 4 filings in mega-cap tech. Observations confirm clustering DID occur: MSTR (2026-05-28), COIN (2026-05-27), META (2026-05-28), GOOGL (2026-05-27) all filed Form 4s within 24h window. The ABSTAIN position was conservative but the thesis was validated by actual data. Abstaining was reasonable caution, but the clustering materially occurred. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.70 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-29 09:39:16", "chain_hash": "27eb60463383f1b4ae4e2dc916ba09a83e0f0e9ffcba84b4c635e1e60729a768", "chain_tx": "4cM6WVn52kVGcNPev8D7JeFjAkTkGpr1nnx3CqMXnFVbNih5gERE9VtcXtECc8jbHZuis3GQMj6RRFg1oxVzc2f6", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}