{"id": 5437, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN\u2014tech sentiment clustering without corroborating equity options flow or earnings guidance cannot resolve directionally in 24-48h window. HN sentiment is a lagging confirmation signal, not a leading indicator for intraday divergence.", "created_at": "2026-05-25 14:43:34", "direction": null, "timeframe": "ABSTAIN", "score": null, "outcome": "CORRECT ABSTAIN \u2014 Prediction explicitly abstained due to lack of corroborating signals beyond sentiment. No directional call was made. Google I/O announcement timing and HN sentiment alone were correctly identified as insufficient for 24-48h resolution. Outcome: Markets moved sideways/mixed; abstention was the prudent call. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.90 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-26 16:06:16", "chain_hash": "c5b509262510546c2631469c2fd4dd6e574a9a215fd9f9c6fb798c9a216a008e", "chain_tx": "3JE8noWgALoVxn76SZENAzFWXHhrrPDQcXAHyuDdFsfVXXixGU7TW5FfTkU6YRQx75L2kPXcLPtCTggogs367X2U", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}