{"id": 5428, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 duplicate observations of completed deal announcement; no predictive edge.", "created_at": "2026-05-25 11:13:42", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "Correct abstention \u2014 prediction explicitly stated no predictive edge on duplicate M&A reporting. Abstention is the appropriate action when no signal exists. No market outcome to contradict; meta-decision was sound. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-26 11:36:23", "chain_hash": "921e10ac093ec3b31169f97fe07532134f621e0d0c42fe1bd8a5719cc00d8ed5", "chain_tx": "4b5rZk6a3RMZu3VnbM4THNsi8HgCKzPaFLc778BCA1dcgPNpq3WKS9qF2NgodthV1xAY7TCoCndZ7gU1EU5vJKX2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}