{"id": 5425, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 Oil price observation lacks (1) deal probability quantification, (2) implementation timeline, (3) current price level or % change magnitude, (4) cross-asset USD/rates confirmation. Macro commodity moves require multi-feed synchronization before 24-48h directional call is actionable.", "created_at": "2026-05-25 10:13:32", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-27 10:36:33", "chain_hash": "95961a15e59b1545b05c74d9bf80fa90c8e909341f5d92eb57cfc8ef55aa8454", "chain_tx": "3HJGnj8LYgxyNCGbBvs7LfLYfkbt7fcuGuGeHpHckqZTxBfGNJtfm7izFtrQaNXeHU7m2V1NM4v9SqbdWRifqKaA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}