{"id": 5424, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 EV supply chain thesis lacks quantified catalysts (no tariff timing, no production capacity announcements, no EU policy timestamp). Commodity prices require cross-asset confirmation (USD strength, Fed rate signals) absent from current data. Prediction window (24-48h) too short for supply chain repricing.", "created_at": "2026-05-25 10:13:31", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-27 10:36:33", "chain_hash": "7c8216035d866a2f4b2974ca43d2c989c22447c66a8ee6f5a4d1fc5fa3088df3", "chain_tx": "4paYV1Ybf4iy1mjpMLTKCjAHc9A2sy7E3k5KmG9XiLv3jGDgYHLSyXCn7ZdsfRYLyjxKbpwM7kYPq85Z7AQWNrGE", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}