{"id": 5346, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 Form 4 clustering without transaction detail + single personnel departure do not constitute testable catalyst. Do not compress into directional BTC/crypto move.", "created_at": "2026-05-23 08:03:08", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was an explicit ABSTAIN (no directional claim). Cannot score a refusal to predict. The prediction correctly identified insufficient catalyst for a testable thesis, which is a methodologically sound decision, not a falsifiable claim. BTC is up 3.1% since prediction date, but this is irrelevant to evaluating an abstention.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-24 10:00:06", "chain_hash": "4b41548e1911352d7d052cdb81576c7b8ee7c93f7cb46c23f15fd39cb65ee536", "chain_tx": "49Wfnbs2QHriTRX6WhV5WjZc6fDS2hcdgwtPMvQ23wFpGmqcD3wGvyvRF9ANed2hLbHBw1w1bVmDCRKH19kGBa1A", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}