{"id": 5341, "prediction_verbatim": "BTC IV remains at or below 7-month lows despite oil/equity vol expansion over next 48h, as institutional buyers use macro volatility as entry signal for spot accumulation rather than hedge positioning (yield-suppressing vol selling continues).", "created_at": "2026-05-22 20:32:53", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-24 21:00:10", "chain_hash": "8d07841054ef85e38096d7d7366137bb23fda1ac208ee18a80d4eae7a2c2791d", "chain_tx": "32yu5kdFX2bB5fmdnNZ8yJuxaSEW4sP6wWifnyUbGWe2WReGroN8RjyC2Uvyv7GBa7AZJJZReAxUXfEpcmfiJVxk", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}