{"id": 5337, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 single-session equity moves (+1\u20131.4% ranges) lack quantified catalysts (no earnings surprise, no options flow confirmation, no sector fund rebalancing data). Prior prediction cycles show this pattern misfires at 0.49\u20130.59 baseline accuracy.", "created_at": "2026-05-22 19:03:00", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-24 19:30:15", "chain_hash": "6d3bd9c23de3b7758a37e61fe14a0cb7d5587f0a63b214e2d9dcc4c95e7456cf", "chain_tx": "5Vy7SxTNbvNFCKRA3pcbWJBczbBfUHdUE314mxeWSg7hv3cEioLAu9KuVDnZJm6ufj4iMYviCU8LUAhBZyqXyuYR", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}