{"id": 5333, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 narrative clustering without quantified catalysts", "created_at": "2026-05-22 15:02:42", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "ABSTAIN prediction correctly identified lack of quantified catalysts to support directional betting. The subsequent geopolitical/news environment (Iran tensions, Ukraine strikes, France-Israel diplomatic friction, India fuel price hikes, China naval developments) remained narrative-heavy without clear market-moving catalysts materialized. Score: Justified abstention given absence of concrete triggers. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-23 15:03:35", "chain_hash": "ec8f0e037eec45d3a099c59eeba5c319229d9529f9eb81ab39dd80085042a68a", "chain_tx": "s2GMSAXs6MjdzxgCDUQjGEijKhX1GVyqbfrSj8M5vfmz3WL4tKbShfqiE82eX5Y2xwrgx1mztaaDwVBzWFTkhep", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}