{"id": 5319, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 mega-cap tech earnings reaction prediction under 48h is below historical accuracy threshold. Earnings data is disclosed and testable, but execution risk on intraday/48h directional calls in mega-cap tech is documented at 0.31\u20130.60.", "created_at": "2026-05-21 19:20:55", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-23 19:33:20", "chain_hash": "4644ea7e4ae550324f35b719e820a315387870c8aaaacd783b4e3c84f2153b69", "chain_tx": "5X2iVmXkKFyFNF9FrG4XdCHnnof3ee3AF7A2PhjhXcyeVKbizb3QMKBtF2cThhDmw5tnZ55ncLRPbQJZ5WNyAENh", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}