{"id": 5312, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 10-Q text not yet parsed; earnings surprise magnitude and guidance revision unknown. Cannot predict NVDA directional movement without (1) confirmed EPS/revenue beat/miss vs consensus, (2) forward guidance revision, or (3) gross margin delta. Clustered insider filings alone do not predict index-level or single-stock momentum within 48h\u2014this pattern misfired on 2026-05-15. Require full filing transparency before directional claim.", "created_at": "2026-05-20 22:20:48", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-22 22:33:13", "chain_hash": "80e410b8e881db8ea6ca6432e891147658d51dc36ab1bb1140b4b9736331e67b", "chain_tx": "5Fd2KA3VFFLAbK7GwSQbPrGZW2mJtriYuNEmtaWaDSXdKEYGX4GTfBDi8XaBQm4C9H6xqaFAM13f7qsQNcCG1P9B", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}