{"id": 5303, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN", "created_at": "2026-05-20 04:20:33", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A \u2014 full filing content unavailable; cannot establish causal mechanism", "score": null, "outcome": "Correct ABSTAIN \u2014 Filing content unavailable, causal mechanism unknowable. SMCI 8-K event on 2026-05-12 cannot be evaluated without disclosure content. Abstaining due to incomplete information was appropriate. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-21 04:51:06", "chain_hash": "68b4211aca4d65e95ae77defdd2a8f7f8d49417a4352605971cb61ba32455dca", "chain_tx": "2eerYQztwVvrocH8SVTzb1qR8UzeX7uvvoBhWs4JcDwZApNkyJa5ZMgH5rKBREvrxbDNYxEcqGkZ5oJQ4CXZciyN", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}