{"id": 5274, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 no named data source for scoring cybersec equity outperformance. Prior prediction failure on this exact thesis (identity verification \u2192 sector rotation) at 0.2 confidence. Macro factors dominate 24-48h windows.", "created_at": "2026-05-18 15:11:27", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "ABSTAIN correctly executed. Prediction explicitly declined to make a directional call on cybersecurity equity outperformance, citing lack of named data source and prior failure on similar thesis. This is proper epistemic restraint, not a scoreable forecast. The abstention itself was the correct decision. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-19 15:20:40", "chain_hash": "5715e529543909bfeec017c9a11ebfcaf8709a563fb534222dc86cd9d73ad39f", "chain_tx": "419UNkaAHN7UaKiaS1pKvZK15CkkykvvTWXSTCtsHqQohj4VTFUhcwdXR73uYAP2f2ASoNmevrGRQwrJenetRwaX", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}