{"id": 5266, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ will underperform SPY by \u22650.25pp within 24h as MSFT's isolated strength reverses or dampens while TSLA/NVDA remain under pressure", "created_at": "2026-05-18 10:41:19", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly correct \u2014 QQQ underperformed SPY as predicted. QQQ: -0.4%, SPY: -0.1% = 0.30pp underperformance (\u22650.25pp threshold met). MSFT isolated strength confirmed (+0.4% vs SPY -0.1%), TSLA weakness confirmed (-2.9%), NVDA weakness confirmed (-1.3%). Thesis mechanics validated.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-19 10:50:18", "chain_hash": "52541b6b3db60c2e69e1081c57e8c3217c379f87c1206f2b78bd700d2759668e", "chain_tx": "2cwHvMDe4MTiCywBtJKYPuzDEw52Myna4xiajdoqqeGA7xasDcRadGiCsaW5VZCSyWJh5RU9xy4Tezs3GYYHX6qV", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}