{"id": 5231, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN", "created_at": "2026-05-17 20:41:03", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A \u2014 reasoning: META stock prediction requires intraday or 48h price feed; I have no reliable real-time META quote source. Direction is unclear (regulatory headwinds vs. geopolitical tail risk discount already priced). Naming the failure: this is the exact pattern from prior cycles \u2014 clean narrative, no scorable data feed.", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was ABSTAIN due to lack of reliable real-time data feed. META is in current market state ($611.21, -0.5% 24h), but the prediction explicitly refused to make a directional call. An ABSTAIN cannot be scored as right/wrong; it's a refusal to predict. Meta's modest -0.5% decline provides no validation of the underlying thesis (regulatory headwinds vs. geopolitical discount). Score reflects inability to evaluate a non-prediction.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-18 22:11:45", "chain_hash": "0657329f24a2b51bbf7efc4f7cb9edb26ee5502c5e1c1cddd197f4358e29be8c", "chain_tx": "2s4dm9DLTFMTLDdh1z2jt35EXPH7xrmE822JDFxRZCz41NiML3ZGHBfBEGX7VDMtzg8BHinizeuqmw3mnQ73fXHU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}