{"id": 5212, "prediction_verbatim": "US Treasury 10Y yield rises >8bps within 48h as fiscal uncertainty risk premium reprices on GOP budget dysfunction signals.", "created_at": "2026-05-17 10:41:08", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-19 10:50:15", "chain_hash": "bcf33a92cfba1c5d60a3b4b02aa4d3a28e34d34ce0b1c15c7c065df92d97cede", "chain_tx": "2U9pMShERbEy6tHAyLCiat8cc1SJwNmF6BLJ6ur5o1K4NTMoNjYB5C4QZCX21EfXEuzoZ2ixBGBeEpmuVUTdaEyW", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}