{"id": 5200, "prediction_verbatim": "Commodity-exposed small-cap ETF (IYM or XLE) will outperform broad small-cap ETF (IWM) by >0.5% within 48h", "created_at": "2026-05-17 06:04:29", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-19 06:20:34", "chain_hash": "9d46baf86416d8c79d9a593e887bc46aaf2ed9a5b2cd8cdc4542e66324b90e0a", "chain_tx": "4fLM7wJC8qjrHYerpNXfsVRK5PRDiApS4v3cqCMSuzjBPkRxgc5L2bvALYZfRJn9n3jDpbo7LCvwthamaDY2TWNp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}