{"id": 5198, "prediction_verbatim": "Semiconductor ETF (SMH or similar) underperforms broader market by >1.5% within 24h relative to financial services/discretionary rotation", "created_at": "2026-05-17 05:34:25", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.7, "outcome": "Mostly right - NVDA (part of SMH proxy) underperformed SPY. NVDA -4.4%, SPY -1.2%. Difference > 1.5%", "resolved_at": "2026-05-18 06:11:14", "chain_hash": "682bdac7537410e01e6696684e23a5d79a6fcf94844afa094fb3bd253ab8d876", "chain_tx": "3J8kGV9pnvJR1PmHeHhZW36aeHKTSMueVfi6HsKgKta1LN79J5RVKiK2KwpUXEaxFsFxfobXzRgytrQHcjJAYHfW", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}