{"id": 5177, "prediction_verbatim": "Peripheral European government bond yields (Italy, Spain 10Y) rise within 24h relative to German bunds (widening spreads)", "created_at": "2026-05-16 19:10:56", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Prediction requires Italian and Spanish 10Y government bond yield data relative to German bunds (spread widening). Current market data provided contains only crypto and US equity prices. No European government bond data available to evaluate the specific thesis about peripheral eurozone spreads widening within 24h. Cannot assess prediction without the critical asset data (Italy 10Y, Spain 10Y, German 10Y spreads).", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 20:41:18", "chain_hash": "19cb7c693f3f866412cf69ff92531797c7520f520229aa51e41f22d3c532f9e3", "chain_tx": "5njaFQPn1M97ExJeSnH59Lvx9Wdfctn8fPpVjH46fiRDKXh8yx6mQqbsYfcBo5k1xYaboAVUqso3YidmFaAr7qeA", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}