{"id": 5171, "prediction_verbatim": "Bitcoin closes lower within 24h as stagflation thesis consolidates and risk-off positioning accelerates in macro-sensitive assets", "created_at": "2026-05-16 15:40:57", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Correct \u2014 bitcoin moved -0.3% ($78,190 \u2192 $77,991)", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 15:41:20", "chain_hash": "fe99137abdca0bed28374c83ac9e70350ef8518490fcb71278f288cd892a4c3b", "chain_tx": "4nXXFneq3R57EW94KJ9pjE6GeABpkrSkk7Bgrb2rN3SrgzJt96zzjjN4fBw2kUcdBDqhLG4h7WB87auiAeZ5Y4yQ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}