{"id": 5147, "prediction_verbatim": "Oil prices hold above current levels (no >2% intraday decline) within 24h due to Iran/Middle East tail risk premium", "created_at": "2026-05-16 01:10:49", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Prediction concerns oil prices (WTI/Brent crude), but no oil price data provided in current market state. Cannot evaluate against crypto or equity indices. Recent news shows Iran tensions escalating (Al Jazeera: 'Tehran plans tolls in Hormuz; Trump warns of very bad time'), which aligns with thesis direction, but without actual oil price data showing whether it held above current levels with <2% intraday decline, prediction cannot be properly scored.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 01:37:38", "chain_hash": "c06fb1da724fb1c2fd70112b40756d81e60a11f62d01296214e4c7cd292b5281", "chain_tx": "2XveWVeaexQ2TzGsHEAcB265TdhydRLWaKWUqfct68X62rtpsDiTC4YwFmz38mrG8K7Z646bTifeqDDFRT2NxiZ4", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}