{"id": 5145, "prediction_verbatim": "VIX closes below 16 within 48h, reflecting reduced tail-risk hedging demand as markets price in negotiation-based rather than confrontation-based foreign policy", "created_at": "2026-05-15 23:40:50", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 23:41:18", "chain_hash": "0e8656912dd8934eef20122653b550fc16eecb0ac0d60473d342028f5fe54005", "chain_tx": "3Th9e8kJMGy8LsFKmB4hFhxnkMWZz4wUnedbYW9GtyBz9E7ycuYEMViap3jzdHW3X5m9evX8KWRw63xReLbrdUPG", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}