{"id": 5139, "prediction_verbatim": "Semiconductor stocks (SMH, SOXL) rise >1.5% in first 24h post-summit clarity, then fade or decline in hour 24-48 if Taiwan arms-sale language becomes contentious", "created_at": "2026-05-15 21:40:56", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 21:41:24", "chain_hash": "d6663ac49800faa842464f582a679e1fc4c95223be3ae8eb6604384e8bc05bc9", "chain_tx": "5rcheQzbgggcJWuNXTMjzdp9PCaABpzpXyQKuYLkikwDHPDWdGjQgNcFqSJ8HJ8ay82nYx63XHRxBKet15vKF9eS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}