{"id": 5134, "prediction_verbatim": "Russell 2000 underperforms S&P 500 by >0.5% over 24h if Taiwan arms announcement surfaces", "created_at": "2026-05-15 20:40:45", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-17 08:41:06", "chain_hash": "69b4b6a35c745564e7f3e01710caa017bd0d99830cd4cb5ad9fab1a25c0a3d8a", "chain_tx": "5rgEexX3ypemrNsjfnw7HbhUTykQPKXgijfbgi9FNxFiaCfFc8n8bFQRLyELa5BneTLGkRDtfc89nJh92ZG4f483", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}