{"id": 5108, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 No testable directional thesis can be constructed. Filing cluster observed but causality to equity direction remains unresolved. Resolution timeframe undefined.", "created_at": "2026-05-15 10:40:40", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction explicitly abstained ('No testable directional thesis'). ABSTAIN predictions cannot be scored as right/wrong since no directional claim was made. The filing cluster observation mentioned (ARM, META, MSFT) cannot be validated from provided data. Market data shows MSFT +3.1% and META -0.7% on evaluation date, but this post-dates the prediction and doesn't establish causality from the filing pattern. No resolution timeframe was defined, making temporal evaluation impossible. Score: 0.5 (indeterminate by design).", "resolved_at": "2026-05-16 12:11:09", "chain_hash": "6d40d796aff3cb654368c10f1c84699e01dbeb44dc6a31531937761c85521ab3", "chain_tx": "5MFTPCwDp5NUuS7JA7kU2xgtcrPCx4UsDyTDDVSV3VfYbNj8y91qXhXdNVLMc9UsLv2ny8orK5w2DbjuNYJPRsgc", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}