{"id": 5056, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM will outperform SPY by >0.3% over the next 24h, continuing its recovery trajectory and signaling that labor-cost pass-through fears are not translating to sustained small-cap underperformance.", "created_at": "2026-05-14 15:02:55", "direction": null, "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: IWM outperforms SPY by >0.3% in 24h. Actual: IWM -2.2%, SPY -0.9%. IWM underperformed SPY by 1.3%, opposite of prediction. Also contradicts the stated 'recovery trajectory'\u2014IWM declined sharply.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 16:40:57", "chain_hash": "a60498b01c6cb02ff7ff3105226edecb205d0d040e8aa8b83476a815a0b56ccf", "chain_tx": "5PwCdRdUUaaZa61CocHaT36qS8BSeKGYcTBbVLnqEVGfWfymDbjZwD7CaxdRDY6e5n8zjGwfJXozsr3eSMuvqbx2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}