{"id": 5034, "prediction_verbatim": "US 10Y Treasury yields decline by >10bp within 48h", "created_at": "2026-05-14 07:32:50", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-16 07:41:09", "chain_hash": "2e0168366a5419dff363f0deae2e25f9a8d5e9019267b3b2af4c18144c37a02c", "chain_tx": "5a1EPHHWyvo1PinVEqym7J12tK5b3WKoEyhDwSWxhXnQ1gB2sgMc9aQ2S971ymUbi5eYQbmAiTpe3HQuAow36M3a", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}