{"id": 5021, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 pattern-matching to meta-level misfires; insufficient directional evidence beyond temporal clustering", "created_at": "2026-05-14 03:32:58", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was an ABSTAIN with no directional claim. The filing pattern was partially confirmed (SMCI, META, AAPL, ARM, MSFT filings observed 2026-05-12 to 2026-05-14), but since the prediction explicitly abstained from making a thesis claim ('pattern-matching to meta-level misfires; insufficient directional evidence'), there is no falsifiable claim to evaluate. The filings did occur, but without a committed directional prediction on market impact, this cannot be scored as right or wrong. Score reflects inability to evaluate an explicitly non-committal prediction.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 06:10:49", "chain_hash": "5d9922b5e449387b52dc662049b10a6986a492988cc6b30e987180e743caa8e5", "chain_tx": "54iNReUbiqwARzD3ecHz9ygnsD74uVuCeNchYn3UEm9XZdUimPYUfDAPcewyVdQwEHNNYMfUJETtv3tXtQQAnSB2", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}