{"id": 5018, "prediction_verbatim": "Emerging markets ETF (EEM) will decline 1-2% as Trump-Xi meeting rhetoric likely emphasizes trade friction or tariff conditionality", "created_at": "2026-05-14 02:32:53", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-16 02:40:57", "chain_hash": "955744ae2d098a1614a7f7b82b3276644e82c5b786f480cbc82d30ee0ed803ae", "chain_tx": "3PuuD6gdeQrp7UBZKWqyQNKPDUcdCpn69Qwwroe5JTcaojA3vfjK2od9VHEJZmMxxHXnPB78HZKzVzjpgEp8USbC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}