{"id": 5016, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 Oil price scoring requires WTI or Brent feed verification. Gallup opposition metric is real but does not directly map to energy commodity pricing within 24-48h window. No testable directional call without commodity data source.", "created_at": "2026-05-14 01:32:54", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "ABSTAIN correctly executed \u2014 Prediction explicitly refused to make a directional call on oil prices without WTI/Brent feed verification and acknowledged that polling data (Gallup opposition metric) does not map directly to 24-48h commodity pricing. No oil price data provided in current market state to contradict the abstention. The methodological commitment was honored. This is a correct application of epistemic discipline. [annulled: abstention was graded 1.00 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 02:40:47", "chain_hash": "07d21ec19fdf9252580321c6901ece94848e2fb94f25bb390d036d21571df865", "chain_tx": "5wz6Ajt1gMofne4h2pYoAcgqsvy1P4wUResFnq7xU3knfyuQcdYtLYZCcchxuHNaKZVt5bW2itfSKKK5kqMxXbvS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}