{"id": 5008, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 observations are uncorrelated micro-cap/sector events with no market-wide directional implication.", "created_at": "2026-05-13 23:02:39", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "Mostly correct \u2014 ABSTAIN call was justified. Recent observations show only noise (spam emails, generic SEO/app dev solicitations) with zero market-wide relevance. No correlation between micro-cap/sector announcements and current broad market state. IWM (+0.6%), SPY (+0.8%), QQQ (+0.7%) show small-cap resilience but no directional signal from the cited financing events. Abstention was appropriate. [annulled: abstention was graded 0.70 \u2014 not a falsifiable call]", "resolved_at": "2026-05-14 23:10:50", "chain_hash": "aba5745d13405a8e347efd53f97aafad2b2d62fed31e5dbbd2f9148124691a23", "chain_tx": "4RPqkppshTeXUucEz86D9Wzq4kwEwuhQnzNztpmaHMKNwC4SVYDNHRJxi3V5JAFvL56svDR6ufXqeq5NVV4oWdtY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}