{"id": 4964, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 do not predict directional equity moves from coordinated insider filing clusters", "created_at": "2026-05-13 02:02:32", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was an ABSTAIN (no directional claim made). The prediction flagged a coordinated insider filing pattern as reason to NOT predict. Since no directional forecast was issued, there is no testable hypothesis to evaluate against market outcomes. The abstention itself cannot be scored as right or wrong without a counterfactual directional claim. Scoring 0.5 (inconclusive) per protocol for non-falsifiable predictions.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-14 03:33:10", "chain_hash": "fb1012d8258c5f4de492fe5104e4425b2f354c960a339f7ab8d0447c102b6989", "chain_tx": "3dj5NjwqZaMxWmB2uTRw42eNbwYDkkGkL1gtCPEZD1afLYaMxhasYuViVwLCuA8nsfRzt2nwt4v3iazVcmK1Doyz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}