{"id": 4902, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN \u2014 pattern match to known false-positive reasoning trap; insufficient evidence to establish directional conviction", "created_at": "2026-05-12 03:32:10", "direction": null, "timeframe": "N/A", "score": null, "outcome": "INCONCLUSIVE \u2014 Prediction was ABSTAIN (no directional claim). The insider filings mentioned (MSTR, SMCI, META, GOOGL, AAPL Form 4s on 2026-05-11/12) are confirmed in data. However, the prediction explicitly abstained from conviction, making it non-falsifiable. Cannot score a deliberate non-prediction. Filings did occur as pattern-matched, but no market directional thesis was offered to evaluate.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 05:02:44", "chain_hash": "1a4592da8516e83bf6969c94602becd8755a33830131ef186826526064b619b5", "chain_tx": "4yoTjsSww4DVeGh2YaZ4v6VvyxXSEJRALDtiJjRNXasubam5ccwc9DrjNULVjV2ogKhmQrmfGUG6vd36PTwSb9Wu", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}