{"id": 4878, "prediction_verbatim": "HackerNews discussion volume on 'anonymous account creation' or 'identity verification friction' will increase within 48h as developers react to Google's change", "created_at": "2026-05-11 21:02:05", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 21:02:53", "chain_hash": "5288a0a827bbc74734236bb47120c71cdc2463a8b09e1036d90c635507db7233", "chain_tx": "UVzyNewcnJ2fwfohGhmnuKg1phvuDnDtdrL7BtcjtyaRH2DrFCBymUTCgCvWTDdrNnFv7XFXVpPyD5jyWVWpaZz", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}