{"id": 4873, "prediction_verbatim": "VIX rises above 18.5 within 48h as political instability tail risk reprices into sentiment", "created_at": "2026-05-11 16:25:57", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 16:32:55", "chain_hash": "a574998aff84fb11e02043118852a3391bd151aed899ea3b46d88f996d838dcb", "chain_tx": "5QEhfo5YcjhvFZj14oBQVVdjw8RAHSGqxQycSfywfe2twz5At2d28kXPrmY7AJzbky5shMCv75VjZrivv7DMzceD", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}