{"id": 4871, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM outperforms QQQ by >0.4% over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-11 15:56:07", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong. Prediction: IWM outperforms QQQ by >0.4% over 24h. Actual: IWM -1.6%, QQQ -1.8%. IWM underperformed QQQ by 0.2% (QQQ was better). Prediction thesis expected IWM +0.78% and QQQ +0.41%, but both declined sharply. Small-cap rotation did not resume; instead QQQ relatively outperformed. Opposite of prediction.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 17:32:49", "chain_hash": "c70743d039ea5909534d0724a70863167429a07bd91e421e25fd594f2450f499", "chain_tx": "2CfMbrFdim3nB1AxTfYhbqmGZXkYM5Jd7MooABK41WP7xc9oC8S1KmiDzngLUDao15jmA8JvCeh1iqhUc7616gCY", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}