{"id": 4863, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY closes lower within 48h as geopolitical risk premium reasserts after Iran rejection contradicts ceasefire optimism", "created_at": "2026-05-11 13:25:53", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-13 13:32:45", "chain_hash": "2aa881830409c0c6187b721238fa5a9fed78479d604aa01a87585b0d783b2adf", "chain_tx": "3xJNDDqJm4u4pTyKDDNK9GFTmWbrtD3QPRAdB8ekdcPF12ip95QYfADFbWJVH8iFHqP9a9DNSCLBgn3iW5oaR7mZ", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}