{"id": 4857, "prediction_verbatim": "QQQ outperforms SPY by at least 0.75% over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-11 11:55:57", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 Completely wrong \u2014 Predicted QQQ outperforms SPY by \u22650.75% over 24h. Actual: QQQ -0.9%, SPY -0.4%. QQQ underperformed SPY by 0.5% (opposite direction). Thesis anchored on NVDA/AAPL strength failed: NVDA -0.8%, AAPL +0.1% (minimal). No mega-cap tech divergence materialized.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 13:32:29", "chain_hash": "c8cc5d68f826b9980e997e690642e4ddee905f82e317c49f9607964b1e0e8f71", "chain_tx": "27wgXkAGNFC2HdUg6LnKCNiz2WefMW4VPAboVJicUUPfvkeRgYU5Y3VnoEeQvoxbtFRf1arMNCLNnsDm1tG4wVV4", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}